Barone, A., A. Carrassi, T. Savary, J. Demaeyer and S. Vannitsem, Structural Origins and Real-Time Drivers of Intermittency. Submitted to Chaos, June 25, 2025.
Dynamical Meteorology and Climatology Unit
Manuscripts under review
Debrie, E., J. Demaeyer, S. Vannitsem (2025). Hourly precipitation fields at 1 km resolution over Belgium from 1940 to 2016 based on the analog technique. Submitted to Earth System Science Data.
Docquier, D., F. Massonnet, B. Richaud, T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, B. Mezzina, D. Topál, S. Vannitsem (in review). Drivers of summer Antarctic sea-ice extent in CMIP6 large ensembles based on information flow. Submitted to Climate Dynamics.
Hamilton O, J. Demaeyer, M. Crucifix, S. Vannitsem. Using Unstable Periodic Orbits to understand Regime Behaviour in a Low Order Land-Atmosphere Model. Submitted to Chaos.
Richaud, B., F. Massonnet, T. Fichefet, D. Topál, A. Barthélemy, D. Docquier (submitted). Anatomy of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice lows in an ocean–sea ice model. Submitted to The Cryosphere.
Sticker, A., F. Massonnet, T. Fichefet, P. DeRepentigny, A. Jahn, D. Docquier, C. Wyburn-Powell, D. Quint, E. Shivers, M. Ortiz (2024). Seasonality and scenario dependence of rapid Arctic sea ice loss events in CMIP6 simulations. EGUsphere [preprint].
Vannitsem S., W. Duan. 2024. A note on the role of the initial error structure in the tropics on the seasonal-to-decadal forecasting skill in the extratropics. Submitted to Advances in Atmospheric Sciences.
Xavier A.K., O. Hamilton, D. Faranda & S. Vannitsem, 2025. Predictability of north Pacific blocking events: Analogue based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations. Submitted to the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, April 2025.
Zhang, H., W. Duan, Y. Huang, P. W. Chan, S. Vannitsem (2025). Improving the forecast reliability of unusual tropical cyclone tracks using ensemble forecasts generated by O-CNOPs. Submitted to Monthly Weather Review.