Dynamical Meteorology and Climatology Unit

IcyAlert (2025-2031)

"Intelligent Climate Early Warning Alert for Arctic Ice-Free Summers"

IcyAlert (Intelligent Climate Early Warning Alert for Arctic Ice-Free Summers) is a research project funded by the Novo Nordisk Fundation (NNF). It runs from October 2025 to September 2031.

The project goal is to improve predictions of Arctic ice-free summers and its potential climate impacts at multi-seasonal time scale using global climate modelscausal analysis and machine learning.

IcyAlert is led by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), in partnership with RMI and the Technical University of Denmark (DTU).

Specific research topic at RMI: Identify predictors of Arctic ice-free summers

Based on Liang-Kleeman information flow method, already used in the contect of past projects in the group, we will identify the most likely predictors of Arctic ice-free summers and we will also analyze the climate impacts of such events, focusing on European climate. These predictors will be injected into a machine learning model, which will provide predictions of Arctic ice-free summers at multi-seasonal timescale. We will work in close collaboration with DMI and DTU to develop an early warning system.

More information:

Dr. David Docquier, postdoc at RMI

Dr. Stéphane Vannitsem, PI at RMI

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